Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.504402 2.901172 3.349513 3.895451 4.544684 5.295011 6.232081
2025-02-16 1.916536 2.433068 3.080993 3.961392 5.138718 6.676080 8.863971
2025-02-23 1.615125 2.177324 2.933101 4.039334 5.644100 7.929507 11.507496
2025-03-02 1.376976 1.944671 2.750243 4.001061 5.938751 8.902129 13.928181
2025-03-09 1.226905 1.803629 2.661347 4.064120 6.368347 10.127284 16.991410
2025-03-16 1.086320 1.652026 2.527620 4.025060 6.613575 11.083966 19.807053
2025-03-23 0.976742 1.531163 2.420685 4.005032 6.875351 12.102544 22.962346
2025-03-30 0.875378 1.409314 2.293548 3.926481 7.012276 12.909621 25.891080
2025-04-06 0.813516 1.344589 2.252129 3.989783 7.416220 14.294798 30.369269
2025-04-13 0.736609 1.244707 2.136339 3.896936 7.497972 15.042676 33.626729
2025-04-20 0.702873 1.216628 2.144705 4.040462 8.078682 16.954700 40.165823
2025-04-27 0.654855 1.157130 2.087384 4.044267 8.363374 18.267177 45.590297
2025-05-04 0.615391 1.116534 2.074985 4.169593 9.012805 20.758601 55.580991
2025-05-11 0.570515 1.061987 2.031809 4.232242 9.560640 23.232149 66.858335
2025-05-18 0.533536 1.017608 2.001748 4.316666 10.179571 26.079871 80.695451
2025-05-25 0.490124 0.954584 1.923508 4.275380 10.471614 28.125304 92.938792
2025-06-01 0.460590 0.916570 1.893451 4.343377 11.070769 31.267274 110.935869
2025-06-08 0.426185 0.864035 1.823993 4.301257 11.356744 33.550035 126.980341
2025-06-15 0.396954 0.819373 1.766470 4.279663 11.699346 36.146267 146.048096
2025-06-22 0.366802 0.769323 1.690004 4.194975 11.834475 38.094061 163.545368
2025-06-29 0.348724 0.744641 1.670815 4.263221 12.468221 42.083779 194.016845
2025-07-06 0.322985 0.699507 1.596129 4.163127 12.533135 43.963775 214.936727
2025-07-13 0.312784 0.689875 1.608752 4.317865 13.502550 49.847389 263.757869